How To Save On Rising Food Costs

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) released a report recently predicting an increase in food prices, especially among animal products. That's thanks to a hard crop year in the Midwest, where droughts drove corn and soybean prices up. Those two items have a domino effect on all other food prices, including meat and dairy, as corn and soybeans are used for animal feed.

Among the predictions: Beef and veal will rise by an estimated 5 percent by 2013, pork will rise 3.5 percent, and dairy will rise 4.5 percent during the same period.

Couple that with the premium health food seekers pay for Farmers' market fare and organic staples, and you're looking at one whopper of a grocery bill. So what can you do? Here are some top tips to keep food prices down and quality up.

• Look for alternatives to meat: This may sound like an obvious one, but replacing meat with vegetable sources of protein such as rice, beans, and lentils, will always help reduce costs. That goes double during this period, when the USDA specifically predicts a price hike in animal protein.
   
• Skip pre-packaged meals: Not only are boxed, frozen meals, pizzas, and burritos more likely to be processed and laden with excess sugar, fat, and salt, they're also generally more expensive, according to the EWG.
   
• Think about the nutrient you want: Want fiber? Black beans and popcorn may be the cheapest sources. Need to up your protein intake? Go for canned tuna. Thinking ahead may help you avoid buying more than what you need.
   
• Preserve! Buying in bulk is a cheap way to get a lot of food in your larder, but healthful fruits and veggies can go bad before you can eat them. That's where pickling, jarring and canning can come in handy—it's a cheap, healthful way to keep seasonal produce all year round. Check out the National Center for Home Food Preservation, a government resource that provides guides on safe canning, pickling, and other forms of preserving.
   
• Clip coupons: This is another obvious one, but so many people don't do it. Using coupons is a great way to get organic and other pricier health foods at a discount. And organic brands like Cascadian Farm, Muir Glen, and Amy's often have coupons attached to their packaging.

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Drought 2012: Harsh Reality of Higher Food Prices

Droughts tend to produce vast yield variations. This week's ProFramer crop tour reaffirmed this tendency and as UBS notes, conditions declined with the expectations of low yields compounded by the harsher reality of poor quality - likely to be a major issue for corn feeders. 

Interestingly, Soybeans looked good from the road but up close (pod formation and beans/pod) were well below normal; and UBS adds to forget the CME for the moment - the cash market is now the attention grabber as they expect it to lead this rally in Ags higher - especially the July 2013s, raising an interesting question of if (or when) the US will restrict exports? Especially with no let-up in the drought conditions.

Lower yields AND lower quality...

With Corn and Soybean conditions data just awful...

and its not getting better anytime soon...

Drought Worsens In Plains

While other corn growers already have knocked down their drought-ravaged crops to feed them to livestock, Nebraska farmer Doug Nelson still waits for his maize to mature, well aware it won’t be a banner year.

On the day a new report suggested the nation’s worst dry spell in at least a generation is deepening in America’s breadbasket, Nelson said Thursday he expects to harvest anywhere from nothing to 43 bushels per acre on his unirrigated acreage, a far cry from the 120 to 140 bushels he'd typically get. On the irrigated land, he could see 150 to 200 bushels an acre; in previous years, Nelson would see a minimum of 180 bushels.

‘‘For the most part, we haven’t seen a hit like this since 1974, as far as my career goes,’’ said the 61-year-old Nelson, who farms some 5,000 acres near Wayne. ‘‘But we'll have the combines going here in probably another month, and then we'll know for sure.

‘‘You can walk these fields and run into good spots, then walk another part where there’s a different soil and have nothing.’’

That’s part of the growing frustration with an increasing drought in Nebraska and several other farming states, despite recently cooler temperatures that have, at the very least, given people a break from this summer’s stifling heat.

The U.S. Drought Monitor’s weekly map showed that, as of Tuesday, just over two-thirds of Iowa, the nation’s biggest corn producer, was in extreme or exceptional drought — the worst two classifications. That’s up more than 5 percentage points, to 67.5 percent, from the previous week.

Nearly all of Nebraska, Kansas, Missouri and Illinois are in extreme or exceptional drought, with Illinois showing the most dramatic climb, spiking 17 percentage points in one week to 96.72 percent, according to the map.

In neighboring Indiana, where 5 inches of rain fell in some parts over the past week or so, the area in exceptional or extreme drought fell 9 percentage points, to 37.09 percent.

Conditions cooled in the region, but little or no meaningful rain fell, said Mike Brewer, a National Climatic Data Center scientist who put together the latest map, which is released by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska in Lincoln.

The lack of rain allowed exceptional and extreme drought conditions to continue expanding in the area from northern Missouri and into Kansas and Nebraska, he said.

On Wednesday, the USDA added 33 counties from eight drought-stricken states to its list of natural disaster areas, bringing that tally to 1,821 counties in 35 states over the past six weeks. That’s more than half of all U.S. counties, and the vast majority received the designation because of drought.

Plains farmers have begun harvesting what corn managed to survive, although many growers cut their fields weeks ago, chalking the year up as a loss. Some ranchers have sold livestock because they had no grass for grazing or money to buy feed, the price of which has soared.

In the lower 48 states, there was a subtle increase in the overall area experiencing at least some drought, from 61.77 percent last week to 63.2 percent. There was little change in the overall area seeing exceptional or extreme drought, which went from 6.26 percent last week to 6.31 percent this week.

Rain is expected in the northern Plains in coming days, though it may be too late to save many withered crops.

The U.S. Agriculture Department twice has slashed its forecast for this year’s corn and soybean output because of the drought. In the spring, it forecast the nation’s biggest harvest, as farmers planted 96.4 million acres of corn — the most since 1937. But the agency now expects the nation to produce 10.8 billion bushels, the fewest since 2006.

If that estimate holds, the federal government says it will be enough to meet the world’s needs and ensure there are no shortages. But experts say food prices will almost certainly climb — corn is widely used in products ranging from cosmetics to cereal, colas to candy bars.

While just 1 percent of the nation’s corn crop is brought in from the fields by this time of year, the USDA said Monday in its weekly crop progress report that 4 percent of the harvest is complete. The reaping is farther along in Kansas, Missouri, South Dakota, Kentucky and Tennessee.

In an occupation that’s at nature’s mercy, ‘‘we've got to calculate we’re gonna lose a crop once in a while and calculate that into our expenses,’’ said Nelson, whose northeastern Nebraska farmland is about 60 percent corn, the rest soybeans. ‘‘Sometimes it’s heat, drought, excessive rains, bugs, winds. I guess that’s what keeps us coming back for next year.’’

© Copyright 2012 Globe Newspaper Company.

Corn Shortage: The Next Big Crisis

By now you know we're experiencing the worst drought in over 50 years which has sent corn prices soaring to record highs. With over 60% of the US in the midst of drought conditions, the USDA has said that 50% of America's corn crop will be in poor to very poor condition.

With corn supplies are at their lowest levels in 17 years and with corn being such a large part of the industrial food chain, we have the 'perfect storm' for serious food shortages.

Corn feeds the chickens that provide us with eggs. Corn feeds the cows that provide us with beef and dairy products. Nearly all soda contain high fructose corn syrup. Even beer is fermented from glucose that originated in corn.

Corn is in margarine, coffee sweetener, icing, gravy, hot sauce, mayonnaise, soups, cake mixes, snacks foods, salad dressings, frozen waffles, and on and on. If you eat produce in any form, it’s likely got corn in or on it: corn was in the pesticide, the cardboard in which it was shipped, even the wax applied to its surface to give it a sheen.

Corn is in toothpaste, disposable diapers, matches, trash bags, disposable batteries, make up, even magazines covers.

Corn in approximately 25% of all items located in your local grocery store. And of course, all the fuel for our cars and trucks contain ethanol which is made from, you guessed it, corn.

And the situation is equally bad for soybeans, the second largest produced crop in the US: today inventories are at their lowest levels in 32 years. And the current drought has resulted in 39% of this year’s soybean crop being in poor to very poor condition.

Forget about Europe and the imminent global financial collaspe, the corn (and soybean) shortages is the REAL CRISIS.

Drought 2012 Costs Crop Insurers $5 Billion

Private crop insurers may face losses exceeding $5 billion if this year’s U.S. drought is worse than one in 1988, according to Standard & Poor’s.

Hot, dry weather across much of the Midwest has damaged crops, led to a rally in corn and soybean futures, and boosted insurance loss estimates. The U.S. subsidizes farmers’ premiums for so-called multiperil coverage, which protects against a loss of revenue or production as a result of drought, hail, wind, frost or other natural causes. Private insurers sell and administer the coverage in the U.S. In return, the federal government backstops the firms with payments and reinsurance.

Losses among crop insurers will vary depending on how much government and private reinsurance they use, S&P said. The companies can withstand the losses because of capital levels and revenue from other businesses, according to the ratings firm.

American Financial Group Inc., which sells crop insurance along with property, casualty and supplemental health protection, last month reduced its earnings projection for the year, saying the drought will weigh on results.

Soybeans climbed to an all-time high today, and corn reached a record $8.49 a bushel on Aug. 10 on the Chicago Board of Trade. The Department of Agriculture has slashed its corn harvest forecast by 27 percent since June, after declaring more than half of U.S. counties as disaster areas amid drought conditions that stretched from California to New York.

Losses this year may rival costs from the 1988 drought and a 1993 flood, Tom Zacharias, the president of National Crop Insurance Services, an industry group, said last month.

Federal crop insurance dates to the Dust Bowl droughts of the 1930s. The program and subsidies were boosted in 2000 as lawmakers sought to use it as a way to avoid what by the 1980s had become near-annual disaster payouts.